ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Self-harm presentations in children and young people have increased internationally over the last decade. The COVID-19 pandemic has the potential to worsen these trends. OBJECTIVE: To describe trends in emergency department self-harm or suicidal ideation presentations for children and young people in New South Wales before and since the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We studied presentations for self-harm or suicidal ideation by 10- to 24-year-olds to New South Wales emergency departments, using interrupted time series analysis to compare annualised growth before COVID (2015 to February 2020) and since COVID (March 2020 to June 2021). Subgroup analyses compared age group, gender, triage category, rurality and disadvantage. Time series decomposition via generalised additive models identified long-term, seasonal and short-term trends. RESULTS: Self-harm or suicidal ideation presentations by young people in New South Wales increased by 8.4% per annum pre-COVID. Growth accelerated since COVID, to 19.2% per annum, primarily due to increased presentations by females aged 13-17 years (47.1% per annum since COVID, from 290 per 10,000 in 2019 to 466 per 10,000 in 2021). Presentations in males aged 10-24 years did not increase since COVID (105.4 per 10,000 in 2019, 109.8 per 10,000 in 2021) despite growing 9.9% per annum before COVID. Presentation rates accelerated significantly in socio-economically advantaged areas. Presentations in children and adolescents were strongly linked to school semesters. CONCLUSION: Emergency department self-harm or suicidal ideation presentations by New South Wales young people grew steadily before COVID. Understanding the sustained increase remains a priority. Growth has increased since COVID particularly for adolescent females, but not among adolescent males. Surprisingly, the largest post-COVID increases in annual growth occurred in socio-economically advantaged and urban regions. The COVID-19 pandemic appears to have added new challenges, particularly in females in the developmentally critical early adolescent and teenage years.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic hit New South Wales (NSW) Australia in early 2020, followed by a sharp state-wide lockdown from mid-March to mid-May. After the lockdown, there had been a low level of community transmission of COVID-19 over a year. Such pandemic experiences provide unique opportunity to understand the impact of the pandemic on paediatric health service use as countries emerge from the pandemic. METHODS: We examined the difference between the observed and the predicted numbers of inpatient admissions and emergency department (ED) attendances, respectively, related to chronic, acute infectious and injury conditions, for each month during the COVID-19 period (January 2020-February 2021), based on the numbers from 2016 to 2019, using records from two major paediatric hospitals in NSW. All analyses were conducted using autoregressive error models and were stratified by patient age, sex and socioeconomic status. FINDINGS: Health service use was significantly lower than predicted for admissions and/or ED attendances related to chronic conditions, acute infections, and injury during the lockdown in 2020. Change in health service use varied by chronic conditions, from the largest decrease for respiratory conditions (40-78%) to non-significant change for cancer and mental health disorders. After the lockdown, health service use for most health conditions returned to pre-COVID-19 predicted levels. However, for mental health disorders, increased health service use persisted from June 2020 up to February 2021 by 30-55%, with higher increase among girls aged 12-17 years and those from socioeconomically advantaged areas. There was persistently lower health service use for acute infections and increased health service use for injuries. Differences by socio-demographic factors were noted for mental health disorders and injuries. INTERPRETATION: The immediate return to pre-COVID-19 levels for most chronic conditions after the first lockdown in NSW highlights the healthcare needs for children affected by chronic conditions. Persistently lower health service use for acute infections is likely attributable to the decreased social contact. Sustained and targeted mental health support is essential to address the potentially increased demand for services among children during and beyond the pandemic. FUNDING: Financial Markets Foundation for Children Chair (RL, NN), NHMRC Investigator Grant (APP1197940) (NN), NHMRC Career Development fellowship (GNT1158954) (SW).